Dec 19 2015

Facebook will die

Category: Culture, Techadmin @ 5:57 PM

I have used Facebook for more than 8 years now, constantly and regularly. I have used it for laid-back surfing, as a gaming platform, a political forum and for business. I have also spent a lot of money on it to promote the cafe page and particularly its events. Facebook charged me more and more at the same time that was charging my competitors more and more to reach out to the same audience. It made it really obvious lately to the extent that people who were not coming from Tech and had no familiarity with such tricks also felt something is very shady and got pissed off. This is when you wish the same opportunity that was taken advantage of a decade ago in sillicon valley, was siezed by other people so may the dominant social network of our time have been in the hands of a humbler and less greedy company.

Facebook is investing a lot in other things and so it will be very dissapointing if the future of innovation in this company is not super bright. Still, given the current state of the social network service it does not seem that they can last this way for so long. Facebook as a company may last as long as Coca Cola. And  the concept of digital social networking will also continue with the future human just like alphabet stayed with us. So say both will survive but not necessarily in link with each other. Why social networking does not have to stay locked in the hands of the Facebook company?

For many reasons.

Facebook as we know it (the service) although has grown, improved algorithmically and then monetized agressively, hasn’t provided a different user experience from day one. Now it has hit the limit and is losing the new generations, alarming that it will lose even more of the future generations. All Facebook has is the momentom, piles of cash, huge user-base and invaluable data. This is enough to stay big for a long time, but data can get old like food and a user-base can die out. And most importantly big data insights will be more widespread and be accessible to many more companies, bug and small and that will not be a competitive advantage in a long run.

What if a small service grows so fast and feels the gap, like what Snapchat only much better.

What Facebook (the service) is doing can be done much better. But they don’t innovate unless it’s about making short-term cash. Very important, life changing and profitable predictions must be possible now with their valuable data and they are only showing ordinary improvements. Nothing really amazing comes out of that company, except for more advanced methods to trick and rob the addicted page-owners so they pay more cash and get less, to make them want to pay even more. This will not sustain and they will quit once a better channel appears.

I doubt if the company that owns the next generation of social networks is Facebook. The people in that future company right now lack huge capital, their active userbase, and their valuable data. But there are many other shortcuts as well as enough smart people out there to bridge that gap to grow and eat Facebook. Such process doesn’t have to show its symptoms to the naked eye before it’s too late. I can’t wait to see how and when it is going to happen but it will soon.

Of course any innovation that takes place in social networking or related technologies if not already in Facebook, is gonna be aquired immediately by them. The current way we are using Facebook will not last long, either they keep the continuum intact and manage to ride the next wave of social need and technological advancement or will eventually leave it to the next creative player.

Facebook is huge, rich and powerful. Too big to fail? The exact opposite. Big things can also change rapidly. Such as the inevitable downfall of the corporate Empire. It is in the proceess already and can’t be stopped, although how will it fall through what candidate and which pathway is not clear.

Dec 19 2015

Darvin IV

Category: Philosophy, Scienceadmin @ 1:53 PM

There are billions of galaxies out there, billions of stars in each of them. There are trillions or quadrillions of planets in our universe and some of them harvest life. What happens in the bottom of our own oceans surprises us, let alone far planets around other stars in other galaxies (and assume that’s the only recipe for life).

Other life forms are extremely far and unreal, as if they don’t exist. But they most likely do, and so many of them indeed. But how do they look like? I think although our universe is ruling them all similarly, the potential is so huge that anything we can imagine proably exists somewhere. And anything that our imaginary creatures can imagine, could as well.

What other life forms may look like has not really captured our imaginations. Alien Planet – Darwin IV is the best (realistic, still very earthly) animation I have come across. There are many documantaries out there but no fictional motion pictures that I know of. If you know of some pleases hint me. If you haven’t watched this, give it a try. Don’t think fiction but more science. Think reproduction, growth, survival, energy, memory, intelligence. Think life! It’s fun.

Dec 12 2015


Category: Humoradmin @ 11:00 AM

I have an important meeting at 9AM tomorrow. But I don’t have anyone to meet. Anyone knows anyone important that I can meet around 9AM tomorrow?

Oct 29 2015

The long tail of terrestial life

Category: Philosophy, Scienceadmin @ 11:48 PM

If you are an organic molecule, a molecule of terrestial life, is it more likely for you to be a part of a big animal, or a microorganism?

Let’s say you break (or not), you will travel from body to body, from a plankton to a fish, then bacteria, a tree, to a pig, or to a human. You spend there short or long. But where will you spend most of your lifetime? A big or a small host?

I would say both.

Could there be a simple answer to this, that applies to every other livable planet, at any stage of their evolution?

On ours, among uniqe species krills consist most of the biomass, human are second, arguably more than pigs and cows (still farmed by us). Though if you count thousands of species of ants as one, they win over all.

Still, seems all sizes are involved at this stage of life.

Geometrically I would say big should win at the end of the game. (Feel a jar with big marbles, then smaller, then sands, etc.)

Economy of scale aside.

Oct 18 2015


Category: Philosophyadmin @ 9:19 PM

I had a nightmare that I didn’t exist. But I was there hearing an explanation justifyng why I don’t exist. It was not that I had died, but I was never even born:

“The exact combimation of the matter like you – statistically – has ended so many times before, but has never started once yet. That’s why you never existed.”

Jun 22 2015

Elevator Mel

Category: Philosophyadmin @ 10:17 PM

So there was this smart elevator in 2025 that was designed to machine learn the user behavior with some degree of freedom. Rumors has it that the code started to compose Clayderman style music, as it was easier to learn than the people’s floor preferences.

May 12 2015


Category: Personal, Quoteadmin @ 9:53 PM

I woke up realizing that consonant letters have mass. And vowels are made of energy to help moving the matter.

That is why consonants are colorfully visible and vowels are transparent as they get their color from the neighboring letters.

May 01 2015

New Interview Material for hiring Data Scientists

Category: Scienceadmin @ 1:20 PM

Hey Business Insider! any publicity is publicity. Plus you don’t need my publicity.

Though when I start my data analysis and warehousing company, I will use your article in the very first interview. If applicants don’t start laughing during the first 10 sec they are out. Unless they cry, or they get angry. Or they double-check the header thinking they are reading the Onion. Anyhow if they finally but late realized or were convinced that this is crap from every single aspect, they will be treated nicely but no job. And if… If they defended the article I would make sure there is a global black list to ban them lifetime from all activities related to data.

How do they allow themselves to publish this when they know “search results varies based on the searcher’s history, the time and place of search”.
Cause “they do say at least a little bit about how countries are perceived”?

Absolutely not.


They haven’t even checked with a friend next door to see s/he would get completely different results. In Norway I and my colleague asked Google the exact formulation:

How much * does cost in New Zeland

Autocomplete gave me: to live, build a house, abortion and to study. My colleague got food, petrol, university, gas, minecraft for NZ. The author got “vasectomy” possibly not even due to his country of search but relevant to his own search history. Then he labels every single country in the world by a totally random buzzword and gets an article in the Business Insider? Bravo!

Asking an uninteresting question, forming an irrelevant hypothesis, doing an absolutely wrong methodology on someone else’s data, representing it with a naive medium of visualization, and then lying in the title.

I had not seen something nearly careless at this level.

I try to summarize: First it gives an impression that these are top searches performed by the people in any country. That comes from the misleading title that actually changed a couple of times and finally got worse. If you struggle to make sense of this and you think it is about other countries’ perception about that country, you are still wrong. Finally you start to doubt the author and think it’s at least about how Americans perceive the world since he lives in the US. Not even that. It’s the authors search recommendation, apparently influenced bye is very own search history .

It’s like publishing an article on your personal recommendation and suggesting it to others as if the recommendation services with their fancy algorithms couldn’t do it for them.

Business Insider doesn’t need to apologize to the world for the silly stereotyping. That’s widely common and you can forgive or pity it as an effort-saving short cut to conserve mental processing energy. This article is unique in terms of ignorance combined with uncalibrated self-confidence. This is too bad to ignore.

Apr 16 2015

Cheryl’s birthday

Category: Scienceadmin @ 7:27 AM

This has been shared massively around the social media and is a fairly interesting primary school puzzle. Now I tweak it a bit and retry it on you: Bernard’s birthday is on the 1st of April and on his birthday Bernard and Albert are trying to figure out Cheryl’s birthday (Albert and Bernard must lie in all three sentences or a part each, but Cheryl doesn’t lie!). So when is Cheryl’s birthday?

p.s. This tweak could have been a bit more interesting. The problem here is that at last Albert doesn’t know what kind of Lie Bernard is making. So yes it seems both June 18 as well as May 15/16 could hold them liar. The dates can be updated for both versions to satisfy a unique answer. Can’t think of it more now. Any suggestion?

Mar 10 2015

The Yellow Duck!

Category: Culture, Philosophyadmin @ 7:01 PM

The black dog affects millions and millions of people (black dog being “depression”)

Now should we talk a little about the “yellow duck” that affects billions and billions of people?

Black dog will eventually catch your attention but the yellow duck will never appear to your sight. It’s always invisible, though if you pay attention to that animation just like the black dog you can also spot the yellow duck. It’s always somewhere in the frame, but the person affected can’t see that. Yellow duck affects billions and billions of people but no one has a problem with it. No one wants to escape from it. ‪#‎Stupidity‬ ‪#‎YellowDuck‬

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